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Elverum vs Mjolner

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tonnessen J. K.
83' Event
Dadras F.
88' Event
Berg F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2024 game between Elverum and Mjolner finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Elverum
15%
Draws
0%
Mjolner
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Elverum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elverum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Elverum Clean Sheet 68%
Mjolner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Mjolner
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 23 5
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.54 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Elverum
0:3
Jul 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Mjolner
3:1
Aug 18, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Mjolner vs Elverum
1:1
May 12, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Elverum vs Mjolner
2:1
Oct 7, 2018 Division 2 - Group 1
Elverum vs Mjolner
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadras F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berg F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Mjolner Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonnessen J. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 95 / 100
Mjolner 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Mjolner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elverum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elverum scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Mjolner let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Mjolner lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 1
Elverum
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Elverum
7 : 6
Ull/Kisa
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Mjolner

(Away)
27 Oct
Floya
4 : 2
Mjolner
20 Oct
Mjolner
1 : 3
Skjervoy
06 Oct
Mjolner
2 : 6
Ulfstind
29 Sept
Ham-Kam 2
4 : 0
Mjolner
20 Sept
Mjolner
0 : 3
Fyllingsdalen
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