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Elverum vs Raufoss 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nelsinho
49' Event
Nelsinho
72' Event
Lynum J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2023 game between Elverum and Raufoss 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Elverum
15%
Draws
28%
Raufoss 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elverum come out ahead of Raufoss 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Elverum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Elverum here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Elverum Clean Sheet 68%
Raufoss 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Raufoss 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.71 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.84 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 2
Elverum vs Raufoss 2
3:0
Apr 28, 2023 Division 3 - Group 2
Raufoss 2 vs Elverum
1:5
Jul 11, 2022 Division 3 - Group 2
Raufoss 2 vs Elverum
4:6
Jul 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 2
Elverum vs Raufoss 2
1:1
Aug 14, 2021 Division 3 - Group 1
Elverum vs Raufoss 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lynum J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Raufoss 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 95 / 100
Raufoss 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Raufoss 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elverum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Raufoss 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Raufoss 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
03 Oct
Elverum
5 : 0
Bjorkelangen
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
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Raufoss 2

(Away)
29 Oct
Ham-Kam 2
8 : 0
Raufoss 2
22 Oct
Raufoss 2
0 : 7
Honefoss
14 Oct
Funnefoss/Vormsund
6 : 0
Raufoss 2
08 Oct
Raufoss 2
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
02 Oct
Elverum
3 : 0
Raufoss 2
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