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Stadium Background

Ely Rangers vs Aberdare Town

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Ely Rangers and Aberdare Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdare Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ely Rangers
15%
Draws
42%
Aberdare Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aberdare Town come out ahead of Ely Rangers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ely Rangers a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ely Rangers Aberdare Town
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.43 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2009 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Aberdare Town
0:1
Aug 15, 2009 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Ely Rangers
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ely Rangers 56 / 100
Aberdare Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ely Rangers Aberdare Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ely Rangers scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aberdare Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 39 matches.

Aberdare Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ely Rangers VS Aberdare Town
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ely Rangers

(Home)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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Aberdare Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
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