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Ely Rangers vs Afan Lido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afan Lido in this Division 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ely Rangers
20%
Draws
36%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afan Lido lately — more wins on the board than Ely Rangers.
  • Model gives Ely Rangers a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Afan Lido have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ely Rangers Afan Lido
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Afan Lido
1:2
Oct 17, 2009 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Ely Rangers
4:0
Feb 3, 2007 FAW Welsh Cup
Ely Rangers vs Afan Lido
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ely Rangers 39 / 100
Afan Lido 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ely Rangers Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Ely Rangers found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Afan Lido let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Solid form: Ely Rangers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ely Rangers

(Home)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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Afan Lido

(Away)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
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