Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Ely Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Ely Rangers haven't matched Bryntirion Athletic's recent run of results.
- Ely Rangers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Bryntirion Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ely Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ely Rangers have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Bryntirion Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ely Rangers | Bryntirion Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Ely Rangers vs Bryntirion Athletic
3:1
Feb 20, 2010 Division 1
Bryntirion Athletic vs Ely Rangers
2:1
Oct 24, 2009 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Bryntirion Athletic
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ely Rangers 38 / 100
Bryntirion Athletic 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ely Rangers Bryntirion Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.
Ely Rangers found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Bryntirion Athletic conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Ely Rangers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ely Rangers VS Bryntirion Athletic
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ely Rangers
(Home) 21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
12 May
Ely Rangers
3 : 2 Caldicot
08 May
Ely Rangers
2 : 0 Caerleon
05 May
Ely Rangers
0 : 4 Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 3
Bryntirion Athletic
(Away) 18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
07 May
Bryntirion Athletic
3 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
19 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 1 Taffs Well
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0 Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 7
18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0 Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
02 Apr
Goytre Utd
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
12 Mar
Bridgend Town
0 : 2 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3
