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EM Mahdia vs CO Medenine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mansour K.
60' Event
Mehamedi A.
80' Event
Mallat O.

AI Match Summary

EM Mahdia in this Ligue 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EM Mahdia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
EM Mahdia
30%
Draws
34%
CO Medenine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EM Mahdia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EM Mahdia lately — more wins on the board than CO Medenine.
  • Model gives EM Mahdia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 20%
CO Medenine Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EM Mahdia CO Medenine
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs CO Medenine
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs EM Mahdia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EM Mahdia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehamedi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mallat O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CO Medenine Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansour K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EM Mahdia 36 / 100
CO Medenine 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EM Mahdia CO Medenine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CO Medenine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

EM Mahdia's goal record stands at 51% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Solid form: EM Mahdia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EM Mahdia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jeunesse Sportive24166249:1454
2Jendouba Sport24155432:1650
3Korba24118532:2341
4Hamam-Sousse24115831:2638
5Hammam-Lif24106835:2536
6Ariana241121127:2935
7JS Kairouan24611722:2229
8Oued Ellil24841212:2428
9Kalaa24412817:2524
10Rades24661220:3224
11Msaken24661213:2324
12Tabarka24661220:3424
13Sporting Ben Arous24471314:3119
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zarzis24184243:1058
2AS Gabes24173441:1454
3Stade Gabesien24106825:2436
4Moknine24105929:2735
5Chebba2498722:2435
6EM Mahdia2496928:2933
7Djelma2487924:2731
8Sidi Bouzid2479824:2630
9Kerkennah24611723:2529
10ES Jerba24851119:2629
11Espoir Rogba24571218:3222
12CO Medenine24491121:3021
13Rejiche24341717:4013