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Emden vs Lubeck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Emden host Lubeck in the Regionalliga North. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Lubeck have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Emden have conceded 2.37 and scored 2.43. Past meetings favor Lubeck slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.94) point toward Lubeck. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Emden
20%
Draws
52%
Lubeck
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lubeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Emden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Emden Clean Sheet 10%
Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emden Lubeck
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.43 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Regionalliga North
Emden vs Lubeck
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga North
Lubeck vs Emden
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Regionalliga North
Emden vs Lubeck
1:3
Oct 11, 2024 Regionalliga North
Lubeck vs Emden
3:1
Dec 2, 2022 Regionalliga North
Emden vs Lubeck
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emden 30 / 100
Lubeck 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emden Lubeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubeck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emden's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Lubeck's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Emden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Emden VS Lubeck
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Emden

(Home)
17 Oct
Emden
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
11 Oct
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 0
Emden
03 Oct
Emden
1 : 2
Todesfelde
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Emden
5 : 0
Schoningen
Page 1 of 6

Lubeck

(Away)
17 Oct
Lubeck
4 : 1
St. Pauli II
12 Oct
Jeddeloh
1 : 2
Lubeck
02 Oct
Lubeck
0 : 0
Eimsbutteler
25 Sept
Lubeck
3 : 2
Todesfelde
19 Sept
Lubeck
2 : 1
Bremer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 14 11 1 2 43:14 34
2 Hannover II 14 9 3 2 32:18 30
3 Drochtersen / Assel 14 9 1 4 43:21 28
4 VfB Oldenburg 13 9 1 3 39:18 28
5 Phonix Lubeck 13 8 3 2 36:12 27
6 Schoningen 14 7 3 4 22:24 24
7 Delmenhorst 13 5 4 4 19:20 19
8 Emden 14 5 4 5 34:38 19
9 Lubeck 14 4 6 4 20:23 18
10 Hannoverscher SC 14 4 5 5 22:30 17
11 Eimsbutteler 13 4 2 7 21:35 14
12 Eintracht Norderstedt 12 3 4 5 24:31 13
13 Hamburger II 13 4 1 8 19:28 13
14 Jeddeloh 14 4 1 9 22:36 13
15 Werder Bremen II 13 3 3 7 18:23 12
16 Todesfelde 14 3 3 8 22:43 12
17 St. Pauli II 13 3 1 9 24:29 10
18 Bremer 13 2 2 9 9:26 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)