Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emelec vs Barcelona SC

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
11:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Emelec play Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Emelec averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Barcelona SC averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Emelec won 0, Barcelona SC won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Emelec and 1.00 for Barcelona SC. This points to a Barcelona SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Emelec
15%
Draws
50%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Emelec picked up more points recently compared to Barcelona SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Emelec Clean Sheet 23%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emelec Barcelona SC
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Emelec
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Barcelona SC
0:4
May 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Emelec
2:0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Emelec vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Emelec
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emelec 36 / 100
Barcelona SC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emelec Barcelona SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barcelona SC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Emelec attacking → ← attacking Barcelona SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emelec scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Barcelona SC let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Emelec went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 59
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle17131336:1840
2Barcelona SC1785420:1329
3LDU Quito1783619:1427
4Dep. Cuenca1783618:1927
5U. Catolica1775528:1726
6Aucas1675419:1626
7Tecnico U.1772819:1723
8Macara1765616:1823
9Emelec1765614:1723
10Orense1764722:2422
11Mushuc Runa1756622:2321
12Leones del Norte1755718:1920
13Guayaquil City1654714:1919
14Delfin174589:1617
15Libertad1745817:2517
16Manta1733117:2312