Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emelec vs Barcelona SC

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Farias Acosta C. A.
45'
Intriago J.
46'
Sub
Caidedo K. In: Benedetto D.
Out: Caidedo K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Emelec
30%
Draws
37%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Barcelona SC haven't matched Emelec's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Emelec's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Barcelona SC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Emelec Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emelec Barcelona SC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Barcelona SC
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Emelec
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Barcelona SC
0:4
May 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Emelec
2:0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Emelec vs Barcelona SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emelec 36 / 100
Barcelona SC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emelec Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emelec scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Barcelona SC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Emelec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Emelec VS Barcelona SC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Emelec

(Home)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)