Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Emelec vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Gonzalez D.
57'
Sub
Morocho S. In: Chacon J.
Out: Morocho S.
58'
Sub
Guevara E. In: Garcia B.
Out: Guevara E.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cuenca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Emelec
20%
Draws
48%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Cuenca have won more games recently than Emelec.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Emelec Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emelec Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Emelec
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Dep. Cuenca
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Emelec
5:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Dep. Cuenca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Emelec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emelec 32 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emelec Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Emelec's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dep. Cuenca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Dep. Cuenca has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Emelec VS Dep. Cuenca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Emelec

(Home)
10 Aug
Guayaquil City
0 : 0
Emelec
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
20 Jul
Independiente del Valle
6 : 1
Emelec
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Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
18 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 2
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 24 20 1 3 58:22 61
2 Macara 24 12 5 7 32:24 41
3 Aucas 24 12 5 7 29:25 41
4 U. Catolica 24 11 6 7 39:21 39
5 Barcelona SC 24 9 8 7 25:20 35
6 LDU Quito 24 10 5 9 23:20 35
7 Libertad 24 9 6 9 26:27 33
8 Leones del Norte 24 8 8 8 24:25 32
9 Mushuc Runa 24 8 7 9 32:34 31
10 Dep. Cuenca 24 9 4 11 22:30 31
11 Guayaquil City 24 7 8 9 20:25 29
12 Emelec 24 7 8 9 19:28 29
13 Orense 24 7 6 11 28:36 27
14 Tecnico U. 24 8 2 14 20:32 26
15 Delfin 24 6 6 12 15:24 24
16 Manta 24 4 5 15 11:30 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)