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Emerita Augusta vs Cacereno II

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Emerita Augusta in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Emerita Augusta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Emerita Augusta
15%
Draws
28%
Cacereno II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Emerita Augusta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Emerita Augusta lately — more wins on the board than Cacereno II.
  • Win probability leans Emerita Augusta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 20%
Cacereno II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emerita Augusta Cacereno II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.23 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Cacereno II
5:4
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno II vs Emerita Augusta
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emerita Augusta 85 / 100
Cacereno II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emerita Augusta Cacereno II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Emerita Augusta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno II has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Cacereno II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Emerita Augusta scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cacereno II
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Emerita Augusta

(Home)
19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4
Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1
Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1
Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
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Cacereno II

(Away)
11 May
Pueblonuevo
3 : 0
Cacereno II
04 May
Cacereno II
1 : 4
CD Coria
01 May
Castuera
5 : 1
Cacereno II
27 Apr
Cacereno II
2 : 0
Fuente de Cantos
20 Apr
Jerez CF
3 : 0
Cacereno II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)