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Empoli vs Cremonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Vandeputte J.
19'
Sub
Collocolo M. In: Elia S.
Out: Collocolo M.
21' Event
Shpendi S.
Assist: Cauz C.

AI Match Summary

Empoli in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Empoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Empoli
20%
Draws
52%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cremonese have won more games recently than Empoli.
  • Model gives Cremonese a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Empoli Clean Sheet 20%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Cremonese
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Cremonese
1:0
Apr 14, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs Empoli
1:0
Nov 11, 2022 Serie A
Empoli vs Cremonese
2:0
Apr 13, 2021 Serie B
Cremonese vs Empoli
2:2
Dec 15, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Cremonese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cremonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 24 / 100
Cremonese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Empoli scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Cremonese let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Empoli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Cremonese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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Cremonese

(Away)
02 Oct
Juventus
0 : 1
Cremonese
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)