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Empoli vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Empoli host Cremonese in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Empoli have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Cremonese's 0.77 scored and 1.54 conceded. Head-to-head, Empoli have won 3 to Cremonese's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2023, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.06, favoring Empoli. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Empoli
35%
Draws
31%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Empoli average 1.04 goals a game right now, well clear of Cremonese's 0.77.
  • Model gives Empoli a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Empoli Clean Sheet 20%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Cremonese
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 5 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.04 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs Empoli
1:0
Nov 11, 2022 Serie A
Empoli vs Cremonese
2:0
Apr 13, 2021 Serie B
Cremonese vs Empoli
2:2
Dec 15, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Cremonese
1:0
Mar 3, 2020 Serie B
Cremonese vs Empoli
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 42 / 100
Cremonese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Empoli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Empoli found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Cremonese let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Cremonese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
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Cremonese

(Away)
07 Aug
Verona
0 : 1
Cremonese
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Vicenza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cesena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ascoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Pisa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mantova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Modena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cremonese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Padova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Arezzo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Juve Stabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Sudtirol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Carrarese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Benevento 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Catanzaro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sampdoria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Palermo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Empoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Verona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Entella 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)