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Empoli vs Pescara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Yepes G.
9' Event
Shpendi S.
Assist: Saporiti E.
13'
Acampora G.

AI Match Summary

Empoli in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Empoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Empoli
15%
Draws
46%
Pescara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pescara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pescara have won more games recently than Empoli.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Empoli Clean Sheet 18%
Pescara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Pescara
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Pescara
4:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie B
Pescara vs Empoli
4:0
Feb 9, 2021 Serie B
Empoli vs Pescara
2:2
Oct 17, 2020 Serie B
Pescara vs Empoli
1:2
Jun 29, 2020 Serie B
Pescara vs Empoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lovato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pescara Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Nardo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 32 / 100
Pescara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Pescara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Empoli scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Pescara has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Empoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Pescara
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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Pescara

(Away)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2
Spezia
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)