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Stadium Background

Energia Kozienice vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VI game between Energia Kozienice and Tomaszow Mazowiecki finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Energia Kozienice
40%
Draws
29%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomaszow Mazowiecki come out ahead of Energia Kozienice on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VI form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Energia Kozienice Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Energia Kozienice Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Energia Kozienice vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:1
Oct 18, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Energia Kozienice
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Energia Kozienice 30 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Energia Kozienice Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Energia Kozienice found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Tomaszow Mazowiecki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021