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Energie Cottbus vs RB Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
Energie Cottbus Logo

Energie Cottbus

1 - 4
FT
RB Leipzig Logo

RB Leipzig

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bakayoko J.
Assist: Orban W.
28' Event
Baumgartner C.
Assist: Raum D.
33'
Biankadi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Energie Cottbus
30%
Draws
35%
RB Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • RB Leipzig have won more games recently than Energie Cottbus.
  • Win probability leans Energie Cottbus's way, sitting at 70%.
  • RB Leipzig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RB Leipzig, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Energie Cottbus RB Leipzig
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.78 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Energie Cottbus vs RB Leipzig
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Energie Cottbus Compare

Top Goalscorer Engelhardt E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

RB Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumgartner C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bakayoko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Energie Cottbus 65 / 100
RB Leipzig 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Energie Cottbus RB Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Energie Cottbus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Energie Cottbus's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: RB Leipzig conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Energie Cottbus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Energie Cottbus VS RB Leipzig
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Energie Cottbus

(Home)
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 6

RB Leipzig

(Away)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0