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England U19 W vs Italy U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2025 MOSiR Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dent L.
57'
Sub
Murphy L. In: Lia V.
Out: Murphy L.
67'
Ferraresi E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 Women 2025 game between England U19 W and Italy U19 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
England U19 W
6%
Draws
4%
Italy U19 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: England U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • England U19 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Italy U19 W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for England U19 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Euro U19 Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
England U19 W Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U19 W Italy U19 W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.57 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.57 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Euro U19 Women
England U19 W vs Italy U19 W
1:0
Apr 9, 2024 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs England U19 W
1:4
Apr 9, 2019 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs England U19 W
0:2
Aug 8, 2017 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs England U19 W
1:2
Mar 7, 2017 Friendly International Women
England U19 W vs Italy U19 W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dent L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.28

Italy U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U19 W 84 / 100
Italy U19 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U19 W Italy U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U19 W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Italy U19 W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

England U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Italy U19 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England U19 W VS Italy U19 W
2.57 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U19 W330013:19
2Denmark U19 W32015:56
3Greece U19 W31022:53
4Kosovo U19 W30030:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U19 W330016:09
2Portugal U19 W32015:46
3Slovakia U19 W31024:103
4North Macedonia U19 W30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U19 W33006:09
2Ireland U19 W32015:26
3Finland U19 W31025:43
4Bulgaria U19 W30030:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U19 W320112:26
2Poland U19 W320110:26
3England U19 W32013:26
4Turkey U19 W30031:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria U19 W32109:17
2Czech Republic U19 W31204:05
3Serbia U19 W31116:34
4Faroe Islands U19 W30032:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U19 W330015:09
2Belgium U19 W31113:84
3Iceland U19 W30212:52
4Northern Ireland U19 W30122:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U19 W320111:46
2Sweden U19 W32017:36
3Scotland U19 W32018:76
4Hungary U19 W30031:130