Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Carrow Road, Norwich

England U21

4 - 1

Moldova U21

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Nwaneri E.

46'

Sub

Telic N. In: Antonciuc C.

Out: Telic N.

48'

Luchita V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

England U21

30%

Draws

27%

Moldova U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

England U21 have won more games recently than Moldova U21.
43% — that's where the model lands on England U21 taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
England U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

England U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	England U21	Moldova U21
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	23	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	4	18
Goals Scored	2.81	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.81	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21

England U21 vs Moldova U21

4:1

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21

Moldova U21 vs England U21

0:4

Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21

Moldova U21 vs England U21

0:3

Sep 5, 2013 Euro U21

England U21 vs Moldova U21

1:0

Aug 15, 2006 Euro U21

England U21 vs Moldova U21

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwaneri E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gray A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Moldova U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luchita V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 95 / 100

Moldova U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

England U21 Moldova U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: England U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Moldova U21 conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Moldova U21

2.25 Goals Scored 0.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)

31 Mar

England U21

4 : 1

Moldova U21

27 Mar

Andorra U21

1 : 1

England U21

18 Nov

Slovakia U21

0 : 4

England U21

14 Nov

England U21

2 : 0

Ireland U21

13 Oct

England U21

1 : 0

Andorra U21

Page 1 of 7

Moldova U21

(Away)

09 Jun

Moldova U21

3 : 2

Georgia U21

04 Jun

Moldova U21

3 : 0

Malta U21

31 Mar

England U21

4 : 1

Moldova U21

26 Mar

Ireland U21

1 : 1

Moldova U21

17 Nov

Kazakhstan U21

1 : 1

Moldova U21

Page 1 of 7