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England U21 vs Portugal U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hackney H.
10' Event
Nwaneri E.
22' Event
Silva F.

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
England U21
15%
Draws
41%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • England U21 have won more games recently than Portugal U21.
  • Portugal U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
England U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.93 3
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 Friendly International
England U21 vs Portugal U21
4:2
Jul 2, 2023 Euro U21
England U21 vs Portugal U21
1:0
Mar 28, 2021 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs England U21
2:0
Jun 18, 2015 Euro U21
England U21 vs Portugal U21
0:1
Nov 13, 2014 Friendly International
England U21 vs Portugal U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hackney H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwaneri E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forbs C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 26 / 100
Portugal U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: England U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Portugal U21 conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Portugal U21
2.75 Goals Scored 3.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
25 Sept
England U21
4 : 2
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
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Portugal U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Gibraltar U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
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