Sport Picks

Stadium Background

England U23 W vs Spain U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Morris E.
84' Event
Arana P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2023 game between England U23 W and Spain U23 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
England U23 W
15%
Draws
40%
Spain U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • England U23 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans England U23 W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
England U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U23 W Spain U23 W
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs England U23 W
2:1
Feb 22, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs England U23 W
3:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Spain U23 W
1:1
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Spain U23 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Morris E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spain U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arana P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U23 W 34 / 100
Spain U23 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U23 W Spain U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U23 W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Spain U23 W let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: England U23 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

England U23 W VS Spain U23 W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

England U23 W

(Home)
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
01 Dec
England U23 W
2 : 4
USA U23 W
Page 1 of 7

Spain U23 W

(Away)
29 May
Spain U23 W
2 : 3
Sweden U23 W
06 Apr
Spain U23 W
3 : 4
Sweden U23 W
03 Apr
Spain U23 W
2 : 1
England U23 W
25 Feb
Spain U23 W
3 : 0
Denmark U23 W
20 Feb
Spain U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
Page 1 of 5