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England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kendall L.
24' Event
Reidy S.
54' Event
Herron N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between England U23 W and Sweden U23 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
England U23 W
20%
Draws
40%
Sweden U23 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • England U23 W haven't matched Sweden U23 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans England U23 W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
England U23 W Clean Sheet 15%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U23 W Sweden U23 W
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 15 21
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:0
Dec 2, 2024 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
1:2
Apr 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:1
Oct 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1
Apr 9, 2019 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendall L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reidy S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U23 W 39 / 100
Sweden U23 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U23 W Sweden U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U23 W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Sweden U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

England U23 W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U23 W VS Sweden U23 W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England U23 W

(Home)
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
01 Dec
England U23 W
2 : 4
USA U23 W
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Sweden U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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