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England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Eco-Power Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kendall L.
24' Event
Reidy S.
54' Event
Herron N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between England U23 W and Sweden U23 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
England U23 W
40%
Draws
29%
Sweden U23 W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • England U23 W haven't matched Sweden U23 W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
England U23 W Clean Sheet 13%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U23 W Sweden U23 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 20
Draws 11 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:0
Dec 2, 2024 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
1:2
Apr 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:1
Oct 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1
Apr 9, 2019 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendall L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reidy S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U23 W 31 / 100
Sweden U23 W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U23 W Sweden U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U23 W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sweden U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

England U23 W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U23 W VS Sweden U23 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%