Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

England

4 - 2

Croatia

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Kane H.

(Penalty)

36'

Baturina M.

Assist: Sucic P.

42'

Kane H.

Assist: Rice D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

England in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored England.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

England

15%

Draws

36%

Croatia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to England lately — more wins on the board than Croatia.
England are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

England Clean Sheet 68%

Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	England	Croatia
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	23	17
Draws	3	5
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	2.26	1.97
Goals Conceded	0.74	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 World Championship

England vs Croatia

4:2

Jun 13, 2021 Euro

England vs Croatia

1:0

Nov 18, 2018 UEFA Nations League

England vs Croatia

2:1

Oct 12, 2018 UEFA Nations League

Croatia vs England

0:0

Jul 11, 2018 World Championship

Croatia vs England

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bellingham J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturina M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Musa P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 95 / 100

Croatia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

England Croatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Croatia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

England has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England VS Croatia

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)

18 Jul

France

4 : 6

England

15 Jul

England

1 : 2

Argentina

11 Jul

Norway

1 : 2

England

06 Jul

Mexico

2 : 3

England

01 Jul

England

2 : 1

D.R. Congo

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Croatia

(Away)

02 Jul

Portugal

2 : 1

Croatia

27 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Ghana

23 Jun

Panama

0 : 1

Croatia

17 Jun

England

4 : 2

Croatia

07 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Slovenia

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