Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025 City Ground

Senegal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

England play Senegal in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, England averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Senegal averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, England won 1, Senegal won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for England and 1.00 for Senegal. This points to a England double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

England

15%

Draws

36%

Senegal

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

England picked up more points recently compared to Senegal.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

England Clean Sheet 23%

Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	England	Senegal
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	24	17
Draws	2	4
Losses	4	8
Goals Scored	2.23	2.1
Goals Conceded	0.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International

England vs Senegal

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Dec 4, 2022 World Championship

England vs Senegal

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diarra H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 49 / 100

Senegal 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

England Senegal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: England or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

England attacking → ← attacking Senegal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Senegal let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

England went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Senegal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 55

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63