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England vs Senegal

World World

Friendly International 2025 City Ground, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kane H.
Assist: Gordon A.
17'
Diatta K.
30'
Colwill L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between England and Senegal finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
England
15%
Draws
21%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Senegal haven't matched England's recent run of results.
  • Model gives England a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
England Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England Senegal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.29 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.74 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
England vs Senegal
1:3
Dec 4, 2022 World Championship
England vs Senegal
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarra H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 86 / 100
Senegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

England went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Senegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England VS Senegal
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
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Senegal

(Away)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
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