Sport Picks

Stadium Background

England W vs Netherlands W

Europe Europe

Euro Women Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
James L.
Assist: Russo A.
45' Event
Stanway G.
Assist: Russo A.
46'
Sub
Roord J. In: Beerensteyn L.
Out: Roord J.

AI Match Summary

The Euro Women game between England W and Netherlands W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
England W
15%
Draws
39%
Netherlands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • England W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on England W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and England W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
England W Clean Sheet 17%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England W Netherlands W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.62 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 Euro Women
England W vs Netherlands W
4:0
Dec 1, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
England W vs Netherlands W
3:2
Sep 26, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Netherlands W vs England W
2:1
Jun 24, 2022 Friendly International Women
England W vs Netherlands W
5:1
Jan 23, 2018 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs England W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England W Compare

Top Goalscorer James L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stanway G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Netherlands W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England W 41 / 100
Netherlands W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England W Netherlands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Netherlands W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: England W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England W VS Netherlands W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
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Netherlands W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Switzerland W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Finland W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iceland W 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Italy W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Belgium W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Portugal W 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Germany W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Poland W 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Denmark W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 England W 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Netherlands W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Wales W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)