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England W vs Portugal W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Wembley Stadium, London
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Match Events

3' Event
Beever-Jones A.
5' Event
Bronze L.
Assist: Mead B.
26' Event
Beever-Jones A.
Assist: Bronze L.

AI Match Summary

England W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored England W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
England W
15%
Draws
42%
Portugal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • England W have won more games recently than Portugal W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Portugal W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
England W Clean Sheet 16%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England W Portugal W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.64 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
England W vs Portugal W
6:0
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Portugal W vs England W
1:1
Jul 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
England W vs Portugal W
0:0
Oct 8, 2019 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs England W
0:1
Jul 27, 2017 Euro Women
Portugal W vs England W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beever-Jones A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bronze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Portugal W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England W 23 / 100
Portugal W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England W Portugal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England W found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Portugal W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: England W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England W VS Portugal W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

England W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

Portugal W

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)