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Enna vs Gela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
6 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Aperi S.
37' Event
Diaz Garcia N.
42' Event
Occhiuto D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Enna and Gela finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Enna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Enna
30%
Draws
58%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gela come out ahead of Enna on wins alone.
  • Gela are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Enna Clean Sheet 16%
Gela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Enna Gela
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Enna
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Enna vs Gela
6:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Enna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Enna Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Garcia N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Occhiuto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gela Compare

Top Goalscorer Aperi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Enna 11 / 100
Gela 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Enna Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Gela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Enna's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Enna remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Enna VS Gela
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Enna

(Home)
04 Oct
ASD Modica Calcio
3 : 0
Enna
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 7

Gela

(Away)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)