Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ensenada FC play Tigres de Alica in the Liga Premier Serie A. Tigres de Alica are favorites here. Recently, Ensenada FC averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Tigres de Alica averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Ensenada FC won 1, Tigres de Alica won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Ensenada FC and 2.50 for Tigres de Alica. This points to a Tigres de Alica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Ensenada FC

15%

Draws

57%

Tigres de Alica

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Ensenada FC picked up more points recently compared to Tigres de Alica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Ensenada FC Clean Sheet 10%

Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ensenada FC	Tigres de Alica
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	20
Draws	2	3
Losses	18	7
Goals Scored	1.27	1.73
Goals Conceded	2.17	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sep 27, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Ensenada FC

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Ensenada FC

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Oct 27, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ensenada FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanazul J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Becerra A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ibarra M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ensenada FC 27 / 100

Tigres de Alica 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ensenada FC Tigres de Alica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (2)

Secondary Pick Tigres de Alica & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ensenada FC attacking → ← attacking Tigres de Alica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ensenada FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tigres de Alica let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Ensenada FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tigres de Alica lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 63

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17