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Stadium Background

Entebbe UPPC vs BUL

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Gaddafi Arena, Jinja
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ssenjobe E.
47' Event
Ssenjobe E.
55'
Magumba B.

AI Match Summary

Entebbe UPPC in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Entebbe UPPC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Entebbe UPPC
15%
Draws
46%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Entebbe UPPC have won more games recently than BUL.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Entebbe UPPC Clean Sheet 20%
BUL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entebbe UPPC BUL
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs BUL
4:0
Nov 27, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC
0:2
May 11, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC
1:0
Jan 3, 2024 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs BUL
2:1
Mar 29, 2023 Premier League
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entebbe UPPC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssenjobe E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tibiita L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

BUL Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entebbe UPPC 31 / 100
BUL 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entebbe UPPC BUL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entebbe UPPC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BUL conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Entebbe UPPC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Entebbe UPPC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Entebbe UPPC VS BUL
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Entebbe UPPC

(Home)
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 1
UPDF FC
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
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BUL

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)