Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Entebbe UPPC vs Lugazi

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Gaddafi Arena, Jinja
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Rwothomio C.

AI Match Summary

Lugazi in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugazi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Entebbe UPPC
15%
Draws
32%
Lugazi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Entebbe UPPC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugazi haven't matched Entebbe UPPC's recent run of results.
  • Entebbe UPPC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Entebbe UPPC Clean Sheet 68%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entebbe UPPC Lugazi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Lugazi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Lugazi vs Entebbe UPPC
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Lugazi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entebbe UPPC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lugazi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rwothomio C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entebbe UPPC 95 / 100
Lugazi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entebbe UPPC Lugazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entebbe UPPC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugazi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Entebbe UPPC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lugazi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Entebbe UPPC VS Lugazi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Entebbe UPPC

(Home)
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 1
UPDF FC
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
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Lugazi

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)