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Entebbe UPPC vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Gaddafi Arena, Jinja
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Entebbe UPPC host Police in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Police have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Entebbe UPPC have conceded 0.62 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Police slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.69, favoring Entebbe UPPC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Entebbe UPPC
30%
Draws
31%
Police
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Entebbe UPPC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Entebbe UPPC lately — more wins on the board than Police.
  • Win probability leans Entebbe UPPC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Entebbe UPPC Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entebbe UPPC Police
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Entebbe UPPC
1:1
Nov 19, 2025 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Police
0:2
Mar 26, 2022 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Police
0:0
Dec 7, 2021 Premier League
Police vs Entebbe UPPC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entebbe UPPC 49 / 100
Police 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entebbe UPPC Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entebbe UPPC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Entebbe UPPC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Entebbe UPPC's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Entebbe UPPC VS Police
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Entebbe UPPC

(Home)
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 1
UPDF FC
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
10 Sept
Police
0 : 0
UPDF FC
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Police
1 : 0
Mbarara City
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 Villa 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
3 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Maroons 5 2 0 3 8:6 6
8 Lugazi 5 2 0 3 4:9 6
9 Kitara 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
10 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
13 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
14 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Ntugasaze 5 1 0 4 3:11 3
16 Mbarara City 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
17 Kataka 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)