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Stadium Background

Entella vs Alessandria

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Disanto F.
73' Event
Faggioli A.
90' Event
Clemenza L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Entella advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Entella
20%
Draws
51%
Alessandria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Entella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Entella's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Entella have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Entella, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Entella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Entella Clean Sheet 20%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Alessandria
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie C
Entella vs Alessandria
3:0
Jan 8, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Entella vs Alessandria
4:2
Sep 11, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Alessandria vs Entella
1:3
Mar 16, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Entella
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Entella vs Alessandria
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Disanto F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faggioli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alessandria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 42 / 100
Alessandria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Alessandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alessandria let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Entella found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Entella has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Alessandria
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Alessandria

(Away)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Avellino 3
Monopoli 0
Foggia 5
Sorrento 0
Turris 2
Audace Cerignola 0
Juve Stabia 3
Potenza 2
Spal 2
Sestri Levante 0
Arezzo 3
Lucchese 4
Pro Vercelli 1
Juventus U23 5
Sassari Torres 1
Olbia 0
Entella -
TBD -
Alessandria 2
Pergolettese 0
Novara 3
Fiorenzuola 2
Carrarese 0
US Pontedera 1
Legnago Salus 2
Padova 4
Pro Sesto 1
Giana Erminio 3
Lumezzane 3
Atalanta U23 2
Arzignano 1
Trento 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
Mantova 0
Pro Patria 1
Virtus Verona 0
Triestina 1
AlbinoLeffe 0
Renate 2
Cesena -
TBD -
Recanatese 1
Vis Pesaro 3
Rimini 1
Gubbio 0
Monterosi 1
Perugia 3
Catania 2
ACR Messina 1
Picerno 2
Taranto 1
Crotone -
TBD -
Virtus Francavilla 0
Brindisi 1
Pescara 6
Fermana 1
Ancona 0
Pineto 1
Benevento 2
Giugliano 3
Latina 1
Casertana 0
1/16-finals
Avellino 3
Foggia 1
Turris 3
Juve Stabia 5
Spal 0
Lucchese 2
Juventus U23 1
Sassari Torres 0
Entella 3
Alessandria 0
Novara 1
US Pontedera 2
Padova 3
Giana Erminio 0
Lumezzane 2
Arzignano 1
Vicenza 3
Pro Patria 2
Triestina 4
Renate 0
Cesena 1
Vis Pesaro 0
Rimini 1
Perugia 0
Catania 3
Picerno 2
Crotone 1
Brindisi 0
Pescara 1
Pineto 0
Giugliano 1
Latina 2
1/8-finals
Avellino 1
Juve Stabia 0
Lucchese 3
Juventus U23 2
Entella 0
US Pontedera 1
Padova 2
Lumezzane 0
Vicenza 2
Triestina 0
Cesena 0
Rimini 2
Catania 4
Crotone 3
Pescara 2
Latina 0
Quarter-finals
Avellino 0
Lucchese 1
US Pontedera 0
Padova 1
Vicenza 0
Rimini 1
Catania 2
Pescara 0
Semi-finals
Lucchese 1
Padova 2
Rimini 1
Catania 2
Final
Padova 4
Catania 5