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Entella vs Carrarese

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tirelli M.
37'
Illanes J.
45'
Melegoni F.

AI Match Summary

Entella in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Entella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Entella
15%
Draws
34%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Entella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Carrarese average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Entella's 0.93.
  • Win probability leans Entella's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Carrarese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Entella vs Carrarese
0:1
May 8, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Carrarese
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Entella
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Entella vs Carrarese
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Entella vs Carrarese
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuppone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 59 / 100
Carrarese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Carrarese has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Carrarese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Carrarese
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
08 Aug
Entella
0 : 1
Carrarese
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1
Novara
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Carrarese

(Away)
08 Aug
Entella
0 : 1
Carrarese
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Frosinone
3 : 0
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)