Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Entella vs Novara

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Lartey S.
76' Event
Forte F.
85' Event
Forte F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Entella in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Entella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Entella
35%
Draws
32%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novara lately — more wins on the board than Entella.
  • Entella are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Entella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%
Novara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Novara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Entella vs Novara
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Entella vs Novara
3:0
Apr 1, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Entella
1:2
Dec 2, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Entella vs Novara
1:1
May 18, 2018 Serie B
Novara vs Entella
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Forte F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Novara Compare

Top Goalscorer Lartey S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 50 / 100
Novara 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Novara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Entella went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Novara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
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Novara

(Away)
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
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