Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Entella vs Padova

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Favale G.
32'
Benedetti L.
53'
Di Mariano F.

AI Match Summary

Entella in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Entella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Entella
30%
Draws
41%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Padova lately — more wins on the board than Entella.
  • Win probability leans Entella's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Padova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Padova
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie B
Padova vs Entella
2:1
May 17, 2025 Super Cup (Serie C)
Padova vs Entella
0:1
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie C
Padova vs Entella
2:1
Aug 11, 2013 Coppa Italia
Padova vs Entella
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuppone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Padova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 50 / 100
Padova 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Padova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Entella stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Padova
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Padova

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)