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Stadium Background

Entella vs Padova

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Favale G.
32'
Benedetti L.
53'
Di Mariano F.

AI Match Summary

Entella in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Entella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Entella
15%
Draws
42%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Entella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Padova lately — more wins on the board than Entella.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Padova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Padova
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie B
Padova vs Entella
2:1
May 17, 2025 Super Cup (Serie C)
Padova vs Entella
0:1
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie C
Padova vs Entella
2:1
Aug 11, 2013 Coppa Italia
Padova vs Entella
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuppone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Padova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 41 / 100
Padova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Padova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Entella stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Padova
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1
Novara
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
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Padova

(Away)
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Padova
1 : 0
Pescara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)