Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Quindio

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Envigado Logo

Envigado

1 - 0
FT
Quindio Logo

Quindio

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Diaz L.
42'
Lopez E.
42'
Gamboa Valencia J. J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Envigado and Quindio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Envigado
35%
Draws
26%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado's 1.23 goals per match outpaces what Quindio have produced (1.06).
  • Win probability leans Envigado's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Quindio Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Quindio
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
1:0
May 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Envigado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Quindio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 59 / 100
Quindio 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Quindio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Quindio
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 7

Quindio

(Away)
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)