Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Quindio

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Diaz L.
42'
Lopez E.
42'
Gamboa Valencia J. J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Envigado and Quindio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Envigado
39%
Draws
30%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Envigado's 1 goals per match outpaces what Quindio have produced (0.75).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Envigado Clean Sheet 26%
Quindio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Quindio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Envigado
2:3
Apr 10, 2024 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Quindio
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Quindio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 33 / 100
Quindio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Quindio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Quindio
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
03 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Envigado
30 Jul
Envigado
0 : 3
Once Caldas
27 Jul
Envigado
1 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Quindio

(Away)
03 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Quindio
28 Jul
Quindio
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
24 Jul
Quindio
0 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
21 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Quindio
18 May
Envigado
1 : 0
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)