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Envigado vs Real Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Envigado host Real Santander in the Primera B. This has Envigado written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Envigado at 1.29 goals for, 1.06 against; Real Santander at 0.82 for, 1.82 against. Head-to-head, Envigado have won 1 to Real Santander's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Envigado. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Envigado
35%
Draws
19%
Real Santander
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Envigado come out ahead of Real Santander on wins alone.
  • Envigado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Envigado Clean Sheet 20%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Real Santander
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Envigado
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 85 / 100
Real Santander 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Real Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Santander's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Envigado scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Real Santander
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
Page 1 of 7

Real Santander

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 11 7 2 2 15:6 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 11 6 3 2 13:4 21
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
7 Cartagena 11 4 3 4 19:14 15
8 Atletico F.C. 11 4 2 5 13:17 14
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)