Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Hernandez J. In: Marulanda M.
Out: Hernandez J.
45'
Quinones J.
45'
Lopez E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Envigado and Tigres Futbol Club finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Envigado
11%
Draws
9%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Envigado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Envigado taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Mar 29, 2023 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:1
Mar 15, 2023 Copa Colombia
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 86 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Envigado scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tigres Futbol Club conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Tigres Futbol Club
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
18 May
Envigado
1 : 0
Quindio
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
11 May
Inter Palmira
0 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
10 May
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Quindio
05 May
Quindio
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
29 Apr
Envigado
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado63216:311
2Quindio63124:310
3Inter Palmira61413:37
4Tigres Futbol Club61144:84
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena64118:613
2Union Magdalena62318:49
3Barranquilla61325:66
4Bogota60333:83
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)