Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Hernandez J. In: Marulanda M.
Out: Hernandez J.
45'
Quinones J.
45'
Lopez E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Envigado and Tigres Futbol Club finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Envigado
35%
Draws
37%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Envigado taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Envigado Clean Sheet 17%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
2:1
May 14, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Mar 29, 2023 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 36 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Envigado scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tigres Futbol Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Tigres Futbol Club
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)