Sport Picks

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Envigado vs Union Magdalena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Envigado host Union Magdalena in the Primera B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Envigado have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Union Magdalena's 0.88 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Magdalena slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.88, favoring Envigado. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Envigado
30%
Draws
34%
Union Magdalena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Envigado come out ahead of Union Magdalena on wins alone.
  • Model gives Envigado a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Envigado Clean Sheet 20%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Union Magdalena
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
4:2
Oct 17, 2025 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Primera A
Envigado vs Union Magdalena
2:1
Jul 31, 2023 Primera A
Envigado vs Union Magdalena
0:0
Feb 6, 2023 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 36 / 100
Union Magdalena 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Union Magdalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Union Magdalena conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Envigado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Union Magdalena
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
18 May
Envigado
1 : 0
Quindio
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Union Magdalena

(Away)
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Bogota
17 May
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
12 May
Union Magdalena
3 : 0
Cartagena
09 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Leones11001:03
4Bogota11001:03
5Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
6Orsomarso11001:03
7Envigado00000:00
8Real Cundinamarca00000:00
9Atletico F.C.00000:00
10Ind. Yumbo00000:00
11Quindio10010:10
12Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
13Union Magdalena10010:10
14Barranquilla10010:10
15Inter Palmira10011:30
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)