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Envigado W vs Alianza W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Aguila Women 2017 game between Envigado W and Alianza W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Envigado W
15%
Draws
0%
Alianza W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Envigado W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Envigado W come out ahead of Alianza W on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Envigado W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Envigado W Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado W Alianza W
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.4 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.55 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Liga Women
Envigado W vs Alianza W
3:0
Mar 1, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Envigado W
1:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado W 85 / 100
Alianza W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado W Alianza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Alianza W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alianza W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alianza W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado W

(Home)
06 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 1
Envigado W
03 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Envigado W
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
18 Mar
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Envigado W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

Alianza W

(Away)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado W 10 10 0 0 36:3 30
2 Bucaramanga W 10 6 0 4 19:11 18
3 Cartagena W 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
4 Union Magdalena W 10 5 1 4 13:14 16
5 Alianza W 10 1 1 8 10:33 4
6 Real Santander W 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 10 0 0 32:5 30
2 Cucuta W 10 6 0 4 22:16 18
3 Huila W 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
4 Patriotas W 10 2 3 5 11:20 9
5 Fortaleza W 10 2 1 7 8:23 7
6 Inter Bogotá W 10 2 0 8 6:23 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 10 8 1 1 22:4 25
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 23:8 20
3 America de Cali W 10 5 4 1 24:9 19
4 Dep. Pasto W 10 2 1 7 6:26 7
5 Quindio W 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Deportivo Pereira W 10 2 1 7 10:27 7
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams