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Epila vs Atletico Monzon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ouakkati Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Atletico Monzon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Epila
20%
Draws
47%
Atletico Monzon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Monzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Monzon come out ahead of Epila on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Atletico Monzon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Monzon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atletico Monzon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Atletico Monzon
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 17 24
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.12
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Epila
1:0
May 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Atletico Monzon
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Atletico Monzon
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Epila
3:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Atletico Monzon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Epila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atletico Monzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouakkati Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 41 / 100
Atletico Monzon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Atletico Monzon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Epila found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Atletico Monzon conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Epila has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS Atletico Monzon
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
10 May
Epila
1 : 1
Zuera
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
Epila
1 : 0
Robres
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Monzon

(Away)
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
10 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CD Cuarte 3
CD Caspe 2
Atletico Monzon 2
Epila 0
Final
CD Cuarte 2
Atletico Monzon 1