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Epila vs CD Carinena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Marin P.
21' Event
Fuertes A.
31' Event
Fuertes A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Epila
35%
Draws
24%
CD Carinena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Epila lately — more wins on the board than CD Carinena.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Epila taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila CD Carinena
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 7 16
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs CD Carinena
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Epila
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Epila
2:6
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs CD Carinena
3:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Epila
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

CD Carinena Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuertes A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 77 / 100
CD Carinena 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila CD Carinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Epila scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

CD Carinena let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Epila remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS CD Carinena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.57
38% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 6

CD Carinena

(Away)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1
CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2
CD Caspe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)