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Epila vs Fuentes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Araiz D.

AI Match Summary

Epila in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Epila
30%
Draws
29%
Fuentes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Epila lately — more wins on the board than Fuentes.
  • Win probability leans Epila's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Epila here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Fuentes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.26 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Epila
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Fuentes
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Epila
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Fuentes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Fuentes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 86 / 100
Fuentes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Fuentes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Epila scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Fuentes let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Epila has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 7

Fuentes

(Away)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)