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Episkopi vs Aris Petroupolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Episkopi and Aris Petroupolis finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Episkopi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Episkopi
20%
Draws
51%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aris Petroupolis come out ahead of Episkopi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aris Petroupolis's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Episkopi Clean Sheet 20%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Episkopi Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 6 21
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Episkopi vs Aris Petroupolis
3:2
Nov 19, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs Episkopi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Episkopi 28 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Episkopi Aris Petroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Episkopi's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aris Petroupolis has conceded goals in 39% of their last 36 outings.

Episkopi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Episkopi VS Aris Petroupolis
0.33 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Episkopi

(Home)
07 Oct
Panakrotiriakos
0 : 0
Episkopi
27 Sept
Episkopi
1 : 0
AE Neapolis
08 Sept
Episkopi
0 : 1
Kalamata
28 Apr
Chaidari
2 : 0
Episkopi
24 Apr
Episkopi
1 : 4
Panionios
Page 1 of 6

Aris Petroupolis

(Away)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)