Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EPS vs Ilves 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Espoonlahden urheilupuisto, Espoo
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Rautavirta R.
68'
Sub
Jouhi E. In: Ljunglin M.
Out: Jouhi E.
68'
Sub
Talvitie E. In: Marshall P.
Out: Talvitie E.

AI Match Summary

Ilves 2 in this Kakkonen Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
EPS
15%
Draws
64%
Ilves 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ilves 2 have won more games recently than EPS.
  • Ilves 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
EPS Clean Sheet 11%
Ilves 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EPS Ilves 2
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 15 18
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.9 2.74
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
EPS vs Ilves 2
0:1
Jul 5, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs EPS
4:2
Apr 25, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
EPS vs Ilves 2
1:1
Aug 20, 2023 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs EPS
0:1
May 27, 2023 Kakkonen Group B
EPS vs Ilves 2
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ilves 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rautavirta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EPS 10 / 100
Ilves 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EPS Ilves 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EPS scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ilves 2 conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: EPS stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EPS VS Ilves 2
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

EPS

(Home)
19 Sept
EPS
0 : 1
Ilves 2
12 Sept
Pallo-Iirot
3 : 0
EPS
06 Sept
Abo IFK
0 : 0
EPS
02 Sept
EPS
0 : 1
Honka
28 Aug
EPS
4 : 1
HJS
Page 1 of 6

Ilves 2

(Away)
19 Sept
EPS
0 : 1
Ilves 2
13 Sept
Ilves 2
2 : 0
Honka
07 Sept
Ilves 2
6 : 1
Pallo-Iirot
02 Sept
HJS
1 : 5
Ilves 2
28 Aug
Abo IFK
1 : 0
Ilves 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 23 16 5 2 66:21 53
2 Abo IFK 23 14 4 5 43:24 46
3 Ilves 2 23 12 6 5 65:33 42
4 EPS 23 11 3 9 43:32 36
5 Pallo-Iirot 23 10 4 9 38:37 34
6 HJS 23 10 4 9 38:42 34
Promotion - Kakkonen Play Offs (Main)