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Equatorial Guinea vs Cameroon

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Aboubakar V.
Assist: Soko P.
39' Event
Nsue E.
42'
Miranda J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Equatorial Guinea
15%
Draws
59%
Cameroon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cameroon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cameroon have won more games recently than Equatorial Guinea.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 21%
Cameroon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equatorial Guinea Cameroon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.79 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Equatorial Guinea vs Cameroon
1:1
Jan 8, 2024 Friendly International
Cameroon vs Equatorial Guinea
0:0
Sep 4, 2022 African Nations Championship
Cameroon vs Equatorial Guinea
2:0
Aug 28, 2022 African Nations Championship
Equatorial Guinea vs Cameroon
1:0
Oct 11, 2011 Friendly International
Equatorial Guinea vs Cameroon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Equatorial Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsue E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cameroon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboubakar V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea 32 / 100
Cameroon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equatorial Guinea Cameroon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameroon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cameroon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Equatorial Guinea scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Equatorial Guinea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea VS Cameroon
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Equatorial Guinea

(Home)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1
Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
31 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 3
Algeria
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
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Cameroon

(Away)
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
Australia
1 : 0
Cameroon
09 Jan
Cameroon
0 : 2
Morocco
04 Jan
South Africa
1 : 2
Cameroon
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
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