Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Equatorial Guinea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Equatorial Guinea carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Equatorial Guinea's way, sitting at 40%.
- Equatorial Guinea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 20%
Congo Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Equatorial Guinea | Congo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 29, 2024 African Nations Championship
Congo vs Equatorial Guinea
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 African Nations Championship
Equatorial Guinea vs Congo
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 African Nations Championship
Congo vs Equatorial Guinea
1:0
Sep 22, 2019 African Nations Championship
Equatorial Guinea vs Congo
2:2
Jan 17, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
Equatorial Guinea vs Congo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Equatorial Guinea 40 / 100
Congo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Equatorial Guinea Congo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Equatorial Guinea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Congo has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Difficult form: Congo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Equatorial Guinea's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Equatorial Guinea VS Congo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Equatorial Guinea
(Home) 24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0 Equatorial Guinea
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1 Equatorial Guinea
31 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 3 Algeria
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09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Madagascar
31 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 3 Algeria
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Sudan
13 Oct
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Liberia
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Congo
(Away) 24 Sept
Namibia
1 : 0 Congo
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0 Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1 Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1 Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0 Congo
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24 Sept
Namibia
1 : 0 Congo
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0 Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1 Congo
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0 Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1 Congo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
