Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Equatorial Guinea W vs Libya W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024
Mon, Sep 18, 2023
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024. This has Equatorial Guinea W written all over it on paper. Equatorial Guinea W have averaged 0.9 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Libya W's 0 scored and 7.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Equatorial Guinea W have won 0 to Libya W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 3.44 vs 1.75, favoring Equatorial Guinea W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Equatorial Guinea W
15%
Draws
0%
Libya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Equatorial Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Equatorial Guinea W lately — more wins on the board than Libya W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Equatorial Guinea W taking it.
  • Equatorial Guinea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Equatorial Guinea W Clean Sheet 12%
Libya W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equatorial Guinea W Libya W
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 10 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0
Goals Conceded 2 7.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Libya W vs Equatorial Guinea W
0:0
Sep 18, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Equatorial Guinea W vs Libya W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea W 83 / 100
Libya W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equatorial Guinea W Libya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equatorial Guinea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya W let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Libya W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Equatorial Guinea W scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea W VS Libya W
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 6.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Equatorial Guinea W

(Home)
08 Jun
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 3
Haiti W
04 Jun
Almeria W
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
26 Feb
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 1
Tanzania W
20 Feb
Tanzania W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
05 Dec
D.R. Congo W
2 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
Page 1 of 6

Libya W

(Away)
01 Nov
Libya W
0 : 7
Afghanistan W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Tunisia W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Sept
Libya W
:
Equatorial Guinea W
18 Sept
Equatorial Guinea W
:
Libya W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal W 3
Mozambique W 2
Egypt W 8
South Sudan W 0
Central Africa W 1
Mali W 10
Guinea W 11
Mauritius W 0
Nigeria W -
Sao Tome and Principe W -
Cape Verde W 6
Liberia W 2
Uganda W 2
Algeria W 3
Burundi W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W -
Libya W -
D.R. Congo W 4
Benin W 2
Ivory Coast W 2
Tanzania W 3
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 13
Rwanda W 0
Ghana W 12
Gambia W 2
Namibia W 5
Cameroon W 1
Kenya W 2
Gabon W 1
Botswana W 10
Tunisia W 12
Niger W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Congo W 3
Angola W -
Sudan W -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Eswatini W 2
Burkina Faso W 6
TBD -
South Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal W 4
Egypt W 0
Mali W 10
Guinea W 2
Nigeria W 7
Cape Verde W 1
Algeria W 6
Burundi W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 2
D.R. Congo W 3
Tanzania W 3
Togo W 2
Ghana W 3
Namibia W 2
Kenya W 1
Botswana W 2
Tunisia W 6
Congo W 3
Angola W 0
Zambia W 12
Burkina Faso W 1
South Africa W 3
TBD -
TBD -