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Equity Bank vs Nairobi City Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Equity Bank and Nairobi City Stars finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Equity Bank
6%
Draws
4%
Nairobi City Stars
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nairobi City Stars haven't matched Equity Bank's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Equity Bank a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 20%
Nairobi City Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equity Bank Nairobi City Stars
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Equity Bank vs Nairobi City Stars
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 Super League
Nairobi City Stars vs Equity Bank
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equity Bank 85 / 100
Nairobi City Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equity Bank Nairobi City Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equity Bank's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nairobi City Stars let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Equity Bank remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Equity Bank VS Nairobi City Stars
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Equity Bank

(Home)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
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Nairobi City Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Talanta FC
5 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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