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Equity Bank vs Soy United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Equity Bank and Soy United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Equity Bank
11%
Draws
9%
Soy United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Equity Bank carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Equity Bank's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 20%
Soy United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Equity Bank Soy United
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Super League
Equity Bank vs Soy United
1:0
Jan 7, 2026 Super League
Soy United vs Equity Bank
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equity Bank 76 / 100
Soy United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Equity Bank Soy United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equity Bank scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Equity Bank has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Soy United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Equity Bank VS Soy United
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Equity Bank

(Home)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
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Soy United

(Away)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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