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Erbaaspor vs Altinordu Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Avci K.
Assist: Kalkan B.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 game between Erbaaspor and Altinordu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altinordu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Erbaaspor
20%
Draws
47%
Altinordu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altinordu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Altinordu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Altinordu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Altinordu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Altinordu
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Altinordu vs Erbaaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Altinordu Compare

Top Goalscorer Avci K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 30 / 100
Altinordu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Altinordu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altinordu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altinordu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Erbaaspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erbaaspor scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS Altinordu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbaaspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
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Altinordu

(Away)
25 Apr
Altinordu
2 : 2
Inegolspor
19 Apr
Kepez Bld.
2 : 4
Altinordu
12 Apr
Altinordu
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
08 Apr
Beykoz Anadolu
2 : 1
Altinordu
04 Apr
Altinordu
1 : 0
Ankaraspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 36 25 8 3 86:33 83
2 Muglaspor 36 21 9 6 51:19 72
3 Elazigspor 36 21 6 9 82:37 69
4 Adana 01 36 19 10 7 55:35 67
5 Sanliurfaspor 36 19 8 9 63:43 65
6 Ankaragucu 36 18 9 9 52:41 63
7 Inegolspor 36 16 12 8 67:44 60
8 Iskenderunspor 36 16 8 12 50:44 56
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 36 13 15 8 45:35 54
10 Ankaraspor 36 13 13 10 64:54 52
11 24Erzincanspor 36 15 6 15 55:49 51
12 Kastamonuspor 36 11 9 16 44:56 42
13 Karacabey Bld. 36 11 8 17 46:55 41
14 Altinordu 36 8 11 17 33:59 35
15 Erbaaspor 36 10 7 19 40:61 34
16 Beykoz Anadolu 36 8 6 22 37:66 30
17 Kepez Bld. 36 5 8 23 33:78 23
18 Karaman FK 36 4 9 23 30:86 21
19 Bucaspor 1928 36 4 8 24 38:76 17
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)