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Erbaaspor vs Mamak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tosun H.
16' Event
Tosun H.
(Penalty)
24'
Erel O.

AI Match Summary

Erbaaspor in this 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erbaaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erbaaspor
15%
Draws
0%
Mamak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erbaaspor have won more games recently than Mamak.
  • Win probability leans Erbaaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Mamak Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Mamak
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.33 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Erbaaspor vs Mamak
6:0
Oct 31, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Mamak vs Erbaaspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tosun H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uyar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Mamak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 95 / 100
Mamak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Mamak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbaaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mamak conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Mamak has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Erbaaspor scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbaaspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
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Mamak

(Away)
07 May
Kahta
6 : 0
Mamak
01 May
Mamak
0 : 3
Sancaktepe
24 Apr
Catalca Spor
6 : 1
Mamak
17 Apr
Mamak
2 : 3
Kelkit Bld.
10 Apr
Karaman FK
2 : 0
Mamak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 34 22 8 4 55:29 74
2 Kutahyaspor 34 19 9 6 63:32 66
3 Bursa Yildirimspor 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
4 Hopaspor 34 17 8 9 45:26 59
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 18 5 11 47:29 59
6 Erbaaspor 34 14 10 10 48:33 52
7 Catalca Spor 34 14 8 12 47:32 50
8 Nevsehir 34 14 8 12 56:53 50
9 Kelkit Bld. 34 12 12 10 41:40 48
10 Izmir Coruhlu 34 12 10 12 54:47 46
11 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 15 10 32:31 42
12 Karaman FK 34 10 10 14 33:44 40
13 Osmaniyespor 34 10 10 14 33:34 40
14 Elazigspor 34 10 9 15 36:51 39
15 Kahta 34 8 15 11 39:42 39
16 Hendek Spor 34 6 14 14 33:41 32
17 Mamak 34 5 6 23 22:79 18
18 Sancaktepe 34 3 4 27 28:87 13
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)