Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erbaaspor vs Muglaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Eycan Kaya Y.

AI Match Summary

Erbaaspor host Muglaspor in the 2. Lig White Group. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Erbaaspor have averaged 1 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Muglaspor's 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Muglaspor slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.25) back Muglaspor to edge this. Muglaspor in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Erbaaspor
6%
Draws
90%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Muglaspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Erbaaspor.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Muglaspor.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 2. Lig White Group provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 19%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Muglaspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Muglaspor
0:1
Oct 6, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Muglaspor vs Erbaaspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Eycan Kaya Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 10 / 100
Muglaspor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Muglaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Muglaspor let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Erbaaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Muglaspor lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS Muglaspor
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batman Petrolspor36258386:3383
2Muglaspor36219651:1972
3Elazigspor36216982:3769
4Adana 01361910755:3567
5Sanliurfaspor36198963:4365
6Ankaragucu36189952:4163
7Inegolspor361612867:4460
8Iskenderunspor361681250:4456
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi361315845:3554
10Ankaraspor3613131064:5452
1124Erzincanspor361561555:4951
12Kastamonuspor361191644:5642
13Karacabey Bld.361181746:5541
14Altinordu368111733:5935
15Erbaaspor361071940:6134
16Beykoz Anadolu36862237:6630
17Kepez Bld.36582333:7823
18Karaman FK36492330:8621
19Bucaspor 192836482438:7617