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Erbaaspor vs Muglaspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Eycan Kaya Y.

AI Match Summary

Muglaspor in this 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muglaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Erbaaspor
35%
Draws
37%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muglaspor lately — more wins on the board than Erbaaspor.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 18%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Muglaspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Muglaspor
0:1
Oct 6, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Muglaspor vs Erbaaspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Eycan Kaya Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 32 / 100
Muglaspor 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Erbaaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Muglaspor has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS Muglaspor
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbaaspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 36 25 8 3 86:33 83
2 Muglaspor 36 21 9 6 51:19 72
3 Elazigspor 36 21 6 9 82:37 69
4 Adana 01 36 19 10 7 55:35 67
5 Sanliurfaspor 36 19 8 9 63:43 65
6 Ankaragucu 36 18 9 9 52:41 63
7 Inegolspor 36 16 12 8 67:44 60
8 Iskenderunspor 36 16 8 12 50:44 56
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 36 13 15 8 45:35 54
10 Ankaraspor 36 13 13 10 64:54 52
11 24Erzincanspor 36 15 6 15 55:49 51
12 Kastamonuspor 36 11 9 16 44:56 42
13 Karacabey Bld. 36 11 8 17 46:55 41
14 Altinordu 36 8 11 17 33:59 35
15 Erbaaspor 36 10 7 19 40:61 34
16 Beykoz Anadolu 36 8 6 22 37:66 30
17 Kepez Bld. 36 5 8 23 33:78 23
18 Karaman FK 36 4 9 23 30:86 21
19 Bucaspor 1928 36 4 8 24 38:76 17
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)